Archive

Posts Tagged ‘govvies’

2013/10/03: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities, Fixed, FX

October 3, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Thursday, October 3, 2013.

131003_EQ_FIXED_0615

EQUITIES & FIXED INCOME

While the TrendView Videos are from earlier this morning, they remain very relevant for the trend decisions into later on today and likely even into Friday. The timeline of the Equities and Fixed Income video opens with some of the macro (i.e. fundamental) considerations and typical short-term and intermediate-term view of the S&P 500 future from, shifts to the other equities from 05:50, with govvies analysis beginning at 10:10, and short money forwards from 17:05 with a brief return to the S&P 500 future at 20:15.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE Analysis and Outlook below.

Read more…

2013/09/30 Early: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities, Fixed, FX

September 30, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Early Analysis for Monday, September 30, 2013.

 130927_EQ_FIXED_1530

 EQUITIES & FIXED INCOME

The timeline of the Equities and Fixed Income video opens with some of the macro (i.e. fundamental) considerations for this week that are very robust, and a bit different than the typical first week of the month. It continues with the typical short-term and intermediate-term view of the S&P 500 future from 01:15, the other equities from 06:45, with govvies analysis beginning at 08:35, and short money forwards from 13:55 with a brief return to the S&P 500 future at 17:00. 

FOREIGN EXCHANGE Analysis and Outlook below.

Read more…

2013/09/27: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities

September 27, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market for Thursday, September 26, 2013.

 130926_SPZ60_30VID_1530

 EQUITIES

The video timeline opens with some macro factor discussion, and continues with December S&P 500 future short-term view at 03:00 and intermediate term analysis from 04:50. The mention of the other equities, govvies and foreign exchange is from 07:20, with a brief return to the short-term December S&P 500 future from 09:10.

For anyone who has not already seen them, we suggest viewing Equities & Fixed Income as well as Foreign Exchange TrendView video analyses available in the blog from yesterday morning for a more extensive discussion of the various asset classes’ trend dynamics.  

Read more…

2013/09/24: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities (after Tuesday’s US Close)

September 24, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market Analysis for Tuesday, September 24, 2013.

130924_SPZ_6030

EQUITIES

The video timeline begins as always with the S&P 500 future with mention of the other equities at 07:25, brief govvies note at 07:40, foreign exchange at 08:05 and a mention of macro factors at 09:00, returning for a brief review of the key short-term factors for the December S&P 500 future at 09:40. That last bit also includes a brief mention of the benighted US political/fiscal influence flowing out of Congress.

Read more…

2013/09/19: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities & Govvies

September 19, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market Analysis for Thursday, September 19, 2013

We have received extensive constructive feedback on our Video Trend Analysis and Outlook.  And in response to a significant number of requests, we are going to be splitting our blog posts into ‘TrendView’ with Videos and text-based analyses on one hand, and Commentary on the other.

The sentiment is that the TrendView analysis should not take a back seat (i.e. follow) to the often extensive Commentary. We appreciate this direction from you, and have begun after today’s US Close with a TrendView Video and brief bit of text-based Analysis and Outlook. We look forward to your feedback, and hope you find this evening’s analysis useful.

SPZ_130919_6030

The video timeline opens as usual with S&P 500 future, and then the govvies analysis beginning at 06:45 with some important futures expiration observations, and a return to the S&P 500 future for a final key short-term consideration at 16:40. And that’s it for this analysis with further comments below. This is an important follow up to previous views on the sharp reactions to the surprise lack of QE tapering by the FOMC.

Read more…

2013/02/11: Calendar, OECD still mixed with US the key

February 11, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The Weekly Report & Event Calendar is available through the link in the right hand column. This week’s Summary Perspective will be added sometime soon. Yet, in addition to the calendar are two key areas of interest we want to cover today: What a significantly robust week it is on all fronts, and (in spite of what some may say about the possible self-sustaining potential of the Chinese and other Asian economies) the degree to which the US remains the key to the rest of the world’s further growth prospects.

That we have quite a bit of important midmonth economic data is a given. After a light data day today, those always include a range of global GDP figures (somewhat after the US release), US and UK Retail Sales, various Chinese data even though it is closed all week for the Lunar New Year. And first but not least of the truly global indications was the OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) Composite Leading Indicators (CLI.)

Still mixed... US holds the key

Still mixed… US holds key (click for full report.)

       Those still showed a very mixed picture that we interpreted to mean there is still quite a burden on the US to continue to lead any further global economic growth. More on that later. But for now, there are also extensive finance minister and central bank meetings this week beginning with Europe today and tomorrow and evolving into the G20 in Moscow Thursday and Friday.

And those are looking to be pretty contentious this time around.

 

Read more…

2013/01/29: Calendar, Finance Meets Professional Wrestling

January 29, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

The Weekly Report & Event Calendar is available through the link in the right hand column. This week’s Summary Perspective will be added after the US Close today to allow for the influence of all of the (admittedly light) early week economic data prior to the late month data commencing tomorrow along with the FOMC announcement. Obviously that is followed by all of the first of the month data, which includes US Employment on Friday.

Yet, in addition to the calendar there are two key areas of interest we want to cover today: the final degeneration of the public image of finance (aided and abetted by the financial fourth estate), and the degree to which the equities’ technical psychology remains positive in spite of the March S&P 500 future setback from the 1,500 area.

First of all, there are the shenanigans surrounding Pershing Square Capital Management CEO Bill Ackman’s very public expressions of his bearish view of (and significant short position in) nutritional supplements company HerbalLife. And as most of you are likely already aware, that has led to a very public spat with previously aggressive activist investor turned corporate shepherd Carl Icahn. The highlight clip of that several day running confrontation is an interesting, if somewhat depressing, bit of viewing.

Ackman/Icahn Spat Highlights

Click for Ackman/Icahn Audio-Visual Highlights

Much more of the story beyond the clip highlights (including the back story on the sour relationship) is available online via Business Insider.   And just to show it is not just CNBC self-promotion when they say it, the BI article title also refers to it as The Greatest Moment in Financial TV History. More like one of the most depressing displays of excessive ego and opinion. (That said, the BI article is a bit of a good giggle.)

And it leaves an already suffering financial services and investment industry (especially the ‘active funds management’ sector after the past couple of years) with another hit to its public image. Strong expressions of opinions on individual investments and entire sectors are to be expected from high-profile fund managers. But what transpired last week seems beyond the pale.

It sounded a lot more like the kind of confrontation we recall from our misspent youth watching professional wrestling interviews on television…

Read more…