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Posts Tagged ‘Australian dollar’

2013/09/19: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities & Govvies

September 19, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market Analysis for Thursday, September 19, 2013

We have received extensive constructive feedback on our Video Trend Analysis and Outlook.  And in response to a significant number of requests, we are going to be splitting our blog posts into ‘TrendView’ with Videos and text-based analyses on one hand, and Commentary on the other.

The sentiment is that the TrendView analysis should not take a back seat (i.e. follow) to the often extensive Commentary. We appreciate this direction from you, and have begun after today’s US Close with a TrendView Video and brief bit of text-based Analysis and Outlook. We look forward to your feedback, and hope you find this evening’s analysis useful.

SPZ_130919_6030

The video timeline opens as usual with S&P 500 future, and then the govvies analysis beginning at 06:45 with some important futures expiration observations, and a return to the S&P 500 future for a final key short-term consideration at 16:40. And that’s it for this analysis with further comments below. This is an important follow up to previous views on the sharp reactions to the surprise lack of QE tapering by the FOMC.

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2012/12/07: Quick Post: Why US Employment report was bogus

December 7, 2012 Leave a comment

© 2012 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

We found the strong initial equities response to the US Employment report bizarre. Could we have been the only ones considering what was, and what was not, counted? There is also the issue of how the US Unemployment Rate got to 7.70% that we will revisit below. But that initial strong equities response was a clear indication of nothing other than the power of headline numbers to move markets regardless of what the full story might be.

And as bizarre as it might’ve sounded on the initial release, there is a good reason the Bureau of Labor Statistics could tell us that Super Storm Sandy had little or no impact! Based on the fine line statistical methodology, anyone employed on October 13 was counted as employed after Sandy hit on October 29th.  It is indeed accurate because of the reporting period statistical protocols. The November data was drawn from the period between October 13th and November 12th, and any worker who was not off for the entire pay period is counted as employed!!

However, that would mean that the estimates which attempted to incorporate the impact of Sandy were significantly misguided…

 

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2012/05/18: Courtesy ‘Brief Update’ and Correction on FT link

May 18, 2012 Leave a comment

© 2012 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

Short & Sweet on the specific market comments in this post, because today’s TrendView Brief Update was an extended discussion of the various price trend at a psychologically important juncture after the recent market ‘disconnect’. In fact, quite a bit of that is follow-up on the other asset classes (i.e. outside of equities) psychology and technical trend structure after the extensive background in yesterday’s post.

And that includes an important correction for a link in yesterday’s post. After our glowing reference for James Mackintosh’s coverage of the weakness in Gold reflecting some broader tendencies we had been anticipating for some time, the link provided for the online version of his Short View column was incorrect. That has now been addressed, and we still encourage even those who had read the post to revisit the link into the video embedded in the online version of his assessment. Apologies for the error and any duplication of effort, but the video is well worth viewing.

And the technical aspect of the evolution of the ‘macro-technical’ perspective is still very important with such fraught fundamental tendencies still affecting the markets. After all of the background factor assessment yesterday, we cover some very interesting specific technical aspects in today’s Brief Update…

 

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