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Archive for September, 2013

2013/09/30 Early: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities, Fixed, FX

September 30, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Early Analysis for Monday, September 30, 2013.

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 EQUITIES & FIXED INCOME

The timeline of the Equities and Fixed Income video opens with some of the macro (i.e. fundamental) considerations for this week that are very robust, and a bit different than the typical first week of the month. It continues with the typical short-term and intermediate-term view of the S&P 500 future from 01:15, the other equities from 06:45, with govvies analysis beginning at 08:35, and short money forwards from 13:55 with a brief return to the S&P 500 future at 17:00. 

FOREIGN EXCHANGE Analysis and Outlook below.

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2013/09/27: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities

September 27, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market for Thursday, September 26, 2013.

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 EQUITIES

The video timeline opens with some macro factor discussion, and continues with December S&P 500 future short-term view at 03:00 and intermediate term analysis from 04:50. The mention of the other equities, govvies and foreign exchange is from 07:20, with a brief return to the short-term December S&P 500 future from 09:10.

For anyone who has not already seen them, we suggest viewing Equities & Fixed Income as well as Foreign Exchange TrendView video analyses available in the blog from yesterday morning for a more extensive discussion of the various asset classes’ trend dynamics.  

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2013/09/26 Early: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities, Fixed, FX

September 26, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: Early Analysis for Thursday, September 26, 2013.

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EQUITIES & FIXED INCOME

The video timeline begins as always with the S&P 500 future and the other equities analysis begins at 06:20, with some of the key macro (i.e. fundamental) factors behind why the equities have been stuck the past couple of sessions at 08:20. The govvies analysis commences at 10:50, with the fresh addition of the far forward (June 2015) short money forwards from 13:50 and a brief return to the key short-term factors for the December S&P 500 future at 15:20.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE Analysis and Outlook below.

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Categories: Uncategorized

2013/09/24: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities (after Tuesday’s US Close)

September 24, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market Analysis for Tuesday, September 24, 2013.

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EQUITIES

The video timeline begins as always with the S&P 500 future with mention of the other equities at 07:25, brief govvies note at 07:40, foreign exchange at 08:05 and a mention of macro factors at 09:00, returning for a brief review of the key short-term factors for the December S&P 500 future at 09:40. That last bit also includes a brief mention of the benighted US political/fiscal influence flowing out of Congress.

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2013/09/24: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: Equities

September 24, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market Analysis for Monday, September 23, 2013.

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EQUITIES

The video timeline opens as usual with December S&P 500 future, and is significantly devoted to that contract alone this time. That is due to the prominent role the next swing in the equities will likely play in all of the other asset classes. That said, there is some discussion of the other markets that relates to the S&P 500 decision. That includes the other equities from 08:25, with mention of govvies tendencies beginning at 08:40, macro factors (fundamental influences) at 09:05 and foreign exchange at 09:25, and a brief return to the short-term December S&P 500 future from 10:05.

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Categories: Uncategorized

2013/09/23: TrendView VIDEO Analysis: GLOBAL as of 2013/09/20

September 23, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

VIDEO ANALYSIS & OUTLOOK: After Market Analysis for Friday, September 20, 2013.

We have received extensive constructive feedback on our Trend Analysis and Outlook videos. And in response to a significant number of requests, we are going to be splitting our blog posts into ‘TrendView’ with Videos and text-based analyses on one hand, and ‘Commentary’ on the other.

The sentiment is that the TrendView analysis should not take a back seat to (i.e. follow) the often extensive Commentary. We appreciate this direction from you, and have now also split the video analysis into Equities & Govvies and separate Foreign Exchange videos to avoid overly long market assessments in any single bit of video analysis.

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EQUITIES & GOVVIES

The video timeline opens as usual with S&P 500 future, and then the other equities from 07:45, with govvies analysis beginning at 12:15 with important futures expiration observations, and a return to the S&P 500 future for a final key short-term consideration at 19:20. The obvious influence on the balance of the equities and also the govvies from the top of the week will be the December S&P 500 future decision on whether to either hold or slip back below the 1,700-1,697 area. While that will not be a major trend decision, it will likely set the early week tone.

Foreign exchange analysis is accessible below.

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Categories: Uncategorized

2013/09/22: COMMENTARY: Is Bernanke’s Flub Yellen’s Drub?

September 22, 2013 Leave a comment

© 2013 ROHR International, Inc. All International rights reserved.

COMMENTARY: Sunday, September 22, 2013, 16:30 CDT

[The Weekly Calendar is also already available via the link in the right-hand column.]

While many folks thought it just fine that the Mr. Bernanke’s FOMC left the much anticipated QE ’taper’ for another day last Wednesday, that delay does raise certain issues. And while we have many more to be covered shortly in another post, one of the most critical in our mind is the degree to which this will be a burden on Mr. Bernanke’s successor. And that’s not some esoteric consideration for a far future date: the man is stepping down in January after all.

YELLENspeaking-130921And one of the key aspects we noted in our assessment of what transpired Wednesday was clear even from the title of our Thursday post “Taper to come under Yellen, so Mr. B. spikes the punchbowl.” There’s probably something to be said for passing along the potential pain of a risky action to your successor.  But just as it was with the lack of any rate increase at the end of Greenspan era (when one was so obviously in order), this is turning this into regular (if very broadly spaced) style at the Fed.

Maybe it is just a matter of leaving their successor some latitude to demonstrate their mettle

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Categories: Uncategorized